DICP OpenIR
Forecasting China's natural gas consumption based on a combination model
Xu, Gang1; Wang, Weiguo2
关键词Natural Gas Consumption Forecasting Combination Model
刊名JOURNAL OF NATURAL GAS CHEMISTRY
2010-09-01
DOI10.1016/S1003-9953(09)60100-6
19期:5页:493-496
收录类别SCI
文章类型Article
WOS标题词Science & Technology ; Physical Sciences ; Technology
类目[WOS]Chemistry, Applied ; Chemistry, Physical ; Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical
研究领域[WOS]Chemistry ; Energy & Fuels ; Engineering
英文摘要Ensuring a sufficient energy supply is essential to a country Natural gas constitutes a vital part in energy supply and therefore forecasting natural gas consumption reliably and accurately is an essential part of a country's energy policy Over the years studies have shown that a combinative model gives better projected results compared to a single model In this study, we used Polynomial Curve and Moving Average Combination Projection (PCMACP) model to estimate the future natural gas consumption in China from 2009 to 2015 The new proposed PCMACP model shows more reliable and accurate results its Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) is less than those of any previous models within the investigated range According to the PCMACP model, the average annual growth rate will increase for the next 7 years and the amount of natural gas consumption will reach 171600 million cubic meters in 2015 in China
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000284031600009
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://cas-ir.dicp.ac.cn/handle/321008/142042
专题中国科学院大连化学物理研究所
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Dalian Inst Chem Phys, Dalian 116023, Liaoning, Peoples R China
2.Dongbei Univ Finance & Econ, Coll Quantitat Econ, Dalian 116025, Liaoning, Peoples R China
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Xu, Gang,Wang, Weiguo. Forecasting China's natural gas consumption based on a combination model[J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL GAS CHEMISTRY,2010,19(5):493-496.
APA Xu, Gang,&Wang, Weiguo.(2010).Forecasting China's natural gas consumption based on a combination model.JOURNAL OF NATURAL GAS CHEMISTRY,19(5),493-496.
MLA Xu, Gang,et al."Forecasting China's natural gas consumption based on a combination model".JOURNAL OF NATURAL GAS CHEMISTRY 19.5(2010):493-496.
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